Same BS different day

I'm sitting outside in my back yard reading the Sunday newspaper. And I read this article.

In it there's talk about what to do after the surge. Supposedly the Bush administration is starting to figure out what to do after the surge. That in all probability there will be a reduction of troops from 150,000 to 100,000 which means there will still be a whole lot of American troops in Iraq. But the story ends this way:

And if the troop increase does not lead to political progress, as many U.S. officials fear, then by early next year there will be little reason to maintain the current level of forces. So, although the White House remains far from a final decision, military planners anticipate that the U.S. troop presence in Iraq could be reduced in 2008.

Could be reduced or maybe not. Have we not heard this over and over and over again from this administration. IF conditions on the ground warrant it there will be a reduction in troops. I believe this has been said about every six months since 2003. I've yet to see any reduction. Which begs the question why will this time be any different.